International tourist arrivals are now expected to grow by 1% to 2% globally in 2026, down from UN Tourism’s January forecast of 3% to 4%. However, the latest report finds that this will depend on the conflict’s actual duration and its effect on oil prices and overall inflation.

Germany as a tourist destination continues to show positive growth in international tourism: at the start of the peak holiday season in July, the number of overnight stays by foreign visitors in Germany increased by 3.2% year-on-year to 10.8 million, according to provisional figures from the Federal Statistical Office, against a backdrop of market volatility...

The conflict is expected to reduce growth in international arrivals by 1 to 2 percentage points below UN Tourism’s initial forecast of 3% to 4% for 2026, depending on the conflict’s duration and scope.

The arrivals were 33 million more than in the same period of 2024. The growth is about 4% above pre-pandemic levels. Some of the highest growth rates among large destinations in H1 2025 were recorded by Japan and Vietnam (+21%), the Republic of Korea (+15%), Morocco (+19%), among others.